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• Essential Strategies For Winning At Daily Fantasy Sports

Article was written by Ricky Sanders of Elite Fantasy

Similar to playing tournaments in any other daily fantasy sport, those deciding to play NFL GPPs need an understanding of how to stack. Of course, stacking refers to targeting multiple players either on the same team or from the same game depending on the goal of a lineup. The reason stacking is used to win tournaments of all sizes is due to the correlation factor. If a quarterback (QB) is going to produce an outlier positive performance then at least one of his pass-catchers is going to benefit from such a performance. When a QB throws for four-plus scores, that quite often leads to multiple players catching touchdowns (TDs), and that is before even discussing the yardage.

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How about double overtime? That is the one of the best feelings in the world. The only feeling better than that would be winning all the money by taking down a large field tournament. The goal of this article is to give you the keys to becoming a winning NBA Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) player! Rosters & Scoring. Roster construction is simple on. Bankroll management is one of the most important factors for a winning strategy in fantasy sports betting. Even prior to the start of the season, a team manager should know how many bets they are planning to make and at how much money per wager for any given game. Weekly budgets are always a must, and an inconsistent bettor is a losing one.

Different forms of stacking can be deployed and an understanding of stacking rules are necessary to succeed. If an offense is likely to be concentrated, meaning only a lucky few are destined to see heavy volume, whether it be via receiving or rushing volume, then there is not as much of a need to play multiple players alongside the team’s QB. If the offense is a lot more spread out, and there is a team where a plethora of pass-catchers that can see 17-plus percent of the receiving market share on a week-to-week basis, then multiple pass catchers can be played in the same lineup with the QB.

For example, in 2019, Michael Thomas and Davante Adams led the NFL in target percentage at 32.6-percent and 31.6-percent respectively (including playoffs). If targeting those offenses in daily fantasy, more often than not, most of Drew Brees’ and Aaron Rodgers’ production came from throwing to those players specifically. When either QB posted their best games, it was due to performances from their main receivers. Therefore, any time users went to build a Saints or Packers passing stack, Thomas and Adams were absolute musts in those stacks. On the other hand, the Seahawks offense spread the ball around, with Tyler Lockett, D.K. Metcalf and Jacob Hollister all seeing over 17-percent of the market share. Consequently, targeting the Seahawks was more complicated, because multiple players had the potential to go over 100-yards and a score if Wilson were to throw for 350-plus yards and three-to-five TDs.

Beyond determining how many pass-catchers and/or offensive weapons from the same team to choose, fantasy owners need to determine whether the game environment is conducive to a shootout as well. Multiple times a year, teams will play in offensive bonanzas that inevitably end up winning slates. An offense is more motivated to continue scoring when their opponent goes out and scores and keeps a game competitive. If expecting (or predicting) a game environment to play out this way, then it is necessary to play a player from the opposing offense in the same lineup with a multi-player main stack.

In my builds last year, I put all these strategies into action, sometimes together in the same lineup. Single stacks were my focus on multiple different occasions for concentrated offenses. Example number one was a week where Daniel Jones was priced extremely cheap and tight end (TE) was ugly. Since the receivers were tough to predict, I left them out of the equation, and targeted multiple players from another concentrated offense on the same team…except they were the high volume receiver and high volume RB together. Essentially, this lineup included multiple stacks in different ways paired together:

A simpler interpretation of single-stacking was this next lineup that simply included a QB/WR stack and then two players from a separate game stack in the same lineup together:

Lastly, my final screenshot lineup included the Seahawks example from above where multiple pass catchers needed to be included with Wilson if he were going to win a tournament. In Week 9 of last season, he did just that in a game that went to overtime (OT), and I happened to play Wilson alongside three of his pass-catchers (mostly because Jacob Hollister was so incredibly cheap and he made the lineup work). Here is how it paid off:

Another way to use stacking would be to target a running back (RB) and defense on the same team. The thought process behind this stack is a team will often run quite a bit late when winning and the defense will benefit because winning teams typically allow fewer points. Many grinders deploy this strategy but it is not one I personally put much stock in unless it happens to fit perfectly within salary cap constraints for a given lineup.
Stacking is the most difficult aspect of tournament lineup building to understand as it simply comes down to contest selection after understanding the mindset. Some grinders prefer to play single-entry and three-max contests whereas others prefer mass-multi entry (MME) and playing the different contests is an art in itself. Brian Healy dedicates an entire article to contest selection, but understanding the mental aspect of GPP formats is important to cover in this piece.

Essentially, analyzing the player pool and understanding how comfortable a user is avoiding presumable popular players should determine the format played on a given week. If completely comfortable having zero exposure to a few of the highest-owned plays, then single-entry and three-max format is the way to go. If the chalk fails, there will likely be less entries in these sorts of contests, so there would then be a clearer path to a top finish. On the other hand, if undecided on how to feel about the chalk, building a mass number of lineups and playing both ways is the preferable approach. Therefore, you can middle your opinion about a player and, in tune, both play and fade them.

Last year, I wrote a GPP review article for a competitor in the industry and can only recall one equation in which a naked QB won any sort of competition with a big money first prize, and it was a higher-stakes three-entry max sort of setup. Other than that, the sorts of constructions that won were all over the map. Sure, there are some hard-and-fast rules to follow, like gaining correlation in a lineup whenever possible, but there is still a degree of freedom in lineup building. Of course, building lineups should be fun, so feel free to personalize your lineups with your instincts while simply being smart in the process!

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Winning real money when playing daily fantasy baseball requires much more than solely picking the “right” players. While strong hitters and a solid pitching core is a necessity, knowing the opponent(s) in which you are matched up against has its benefits as well. And though you may be more than aware of all the most popular players in the league, there are always a few you may be overlooking, and it is these players that may have a huge impact on your daily fantasy teams from day to day.

This, like much of fantasy baseball strategy, comes down to how much effort you, the player, are willing to put in. The more you know who you are playing and how they play, the greater your chances of walking away a winner will be.

Feed On Weaker, Inexperienced Players

Everyone has to start somewhere when playing daily fantasy baseball, and for most people, this is at the low stakes level. Many beginning players use these low buy-in events to get a feel for the site they are playing on and get the hang of how each and every event works. These new players are among the most vulnerable and are, if you play your cards right, just waiting to give you their money.

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It may sound like a cheap way to play, and in some people’s eyes it is, but preying on weaker opponents is an incredibly viable way for you to rake in consistent cash. This strategy is not one only to be employed in low-stakes events either. As you play at a given stakes level for a length of time, you will begin to familiarize yourself with some of the players who play the same events as you on a regular basis. As you become more familiar with players, you may be able to pick out tendencies and tactics they employ that you can take advantage of.
Keep in mind, however, that just because a player is perceived as weak or inexperienced, you are in no way guaranteed to win against them.

Minor League Call-Ups, DL Returnees

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Another great strategy for any daily fantasy baseball player to employ is that of frequently checking for players who are called up from the Minors and those that are returning from the Disabled List. All too many people completely forego checking these places for players who may help their team.

To be fair, it isn’t a common occurrence that a Minor League call-up makes an immediate impact for their MLB club, but it has happened plenty of times before. It is, on the other hand, quite common that a refreshed player returning from the DL will make an immediate impact on their club’s fortunes.

Check The Bookmaker Odds

If, when picking a daily fantasy baseball team, you are having a difficult time deciding between a given selection of pitchers, making use of popular sportsbooks’ odds can help you make a gainfully insightful decision on who your pitcher(s) should be.

Bookmaker odds are never 100% accurate, but if you are stuck and at a loss, they can definitely help sway your decision quickly and effectively.

Todays Odds

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