Super Bowl Presidential Election

Super Bowl Presidential Election Average ratng: 8,1/10 1670 votes
  1. Super Bowl End Times Notes. Well that Super Bowl was a throwback to the lopsided boring games of the 1980s. But it might not be over. Even though the NFL stopped counting points when the clock ran.
  2. “The Super Bowl is one of the secular national holidays we have that tends to promote unity, the idea being that we all like watching the game. 2020 election 2020 Presidential Election.
© Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images An aerial view of Raymond James Stadium ahead of Super Bowl LV on January 31, 2021 in Tampa, Florida.

Super Bowl Presidential Elections Predictor

More facts about the Super Bowl and presidential elections: The number of people in the U.S. Who watched the 2008 Super Bowl was a record, but the record has been broken by each Super Bowl since then. About 151.6 million people in the U.S. Watched at least part of the Super Bowl in 2009, 153.4 million in 2010 and 162.9 million in 2011.

Every NFL game has numerous numbers to break down the contest, along with the typical Xs and Os. Experts use matchups, weather conditions, crowd noise, injury reports and insider knowledge to make their predictions.

For Super Bowl games, the analysis goes even deeper. However, here are 14 things that many experts probably don't consider.

Super Bowl LV between the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be Sunday, February 7 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. The game will kickoff at 6:30 p.m., and it will be televised on CBS.

Here are 14 facts surrounding this year's Super Bowl:

Has A President Ever Attended The Super Bowl

  • The Buccaneers will become the only team to ever play a Super Bowl in its home stadium.
  • Super Bowl LV (55) is the 17th Super Bowl to be held in the state of Florida, which is the most by any state. This is the fifth Super Bowl to be held in Tampa. Miami has hosted the game 11 times and Jacksonville has hosted it once.
  • The AFC has won 11 of the previous 16 games in these Florida cities: Miami (AFC leads 7-4), Jacksonville (AFC leads 1-0), Tampa (AFC leads 3-1).
  • February 7 is the latest date ever for a Super Bowl, and just the third time it has happened (Super Bowls XLIV and 50).
  • This year's Super Bowl is the first time in history that the previous two Super Bowl-winning quarterbacks will meet in the follow-up game.
  • This year's game will be broadcast by CBS for the 21st time, which is a record number among the networks.
  • The NFC is the designated home team this year, but the Buccaneers have opted to wear their road white jerseys for the game. They won their divisional game at New Orleans and NFC Championship at Green Bay while wearing white tops. In Tom Brady's previous nine Super Bowl appearances, he has worn a white jersey five times, winning the Super Bowl in four of those.
  • Kansas City (16-2) lost just two games this season, both in their home red jerseys. The Chiefs are 2-0 in Super Bowls when wearing red jerseys, however, and 0-1 while wearing white jerseys in the big game.
  • The Chiefs are 8-0 on the road this season, which includes a 27-24 win over the Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium, home of this week's Super Bowl. The Buccaneers are 5-3 at home this season. Their other two losses were to playoff teams New Orleans and L.A. Rams. The Buccaneers got revenge over New Orleans in the NFC divisional round.
  • The last team to win back-to-back Super Bowls was the New England Patriots, who won titles after the 2003 and 2004 seasons. Who did the Patriots beat in the 2005 game? The Philadelphia Eagles, coached by Andy Reid—the current Kansas City Chiefs coach.
  • Tom Brady won three Super Bowls in four years (2001, 2003, 2004). Who won it the only year (2002) Brady didn't win in that span? The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, which is obviously Brady's current team.
  • Who did the Jon Gruden-coached Buccaneers beat in the 2003 Super Bowl? The Buccaneers beat the Oakland Raiders, who lost in the AFC playoffs the previous season to the Patriots in the famous (or infamous) 'tuck rule game.' Gruden now coaches the Raiders, who now play in Las Vegas.
  • This game follows a presidential election. Of the five previous Super Bowls following an election, the AFC is 5-0 going back to the 2001 Super Bowl. Tom Brady won two of those with the Patriots. The Baltimore Ravens won two of them and the Pittsburgh Steelers won the other.
  • In the previous 54 years, the AFC holds a 9-4 advantage in Super Bowls played after presidential elections. The AFC won the first four (1966-1981), the NFC won the next four (1984-1997) and the AFC has won the last five.
Super Bowl LV Preview: Kansas City Chiefs Vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Presidential

The Redskins Rule is a spurious relationship[1] in which the results of National Football League (NFL) games correlated strongly with the results of subsequent United States presidential elections. Briefly stated, there was a strong correlation between the outcome of the last home game for the Washington Football Team prior to the U.S. presidential election and the outcome of the election: when Washington won, the party of the incumbent president retained the presidency; when Washington lost, the opposition party won. This coincidence was noted by many sports and political commentators, used as a bellwether to predict the results of elections, and held true in every election from 1940 through 2000. Since 2004, the rule appears to have become inverted, with the performance of Washington now forecasting the fate of the challenging party rather than the incumbent. For example, the 2008, 2016 and 2020 victories heralded the elections of President Obama, President Trump, and President Biden, respectively, while the 2004 and 2012 losses were followed up by the incumbent winning a second term.

History[edit]

The Redskins relocated from Boston, Massachusetts to Washington, D.C. in 1937. Since then, there have been 19 presidential elections. In 17 of those, the following rule applied:

If the Redskins win their last home game before the election, the party that won the previous election wins the next election and that if the Redskins lose, the challenging party's candidate wins.

Election

The Redskins Rule was first noticed prior to the 2000 election by Steve Hirdt, executive vice president of the Elias Sports Bureau.[2][3][4] That year, the Redskins would begin what would become a four-game losing streak with retrospect to the rule when they lost to the Tennessee Titans. George W. Bush defeated Al Gore in the Electoral College, but lost the popular vote. This would cause problems for the original version of the rule after the 2004 election.[4]

In 2004 election, the Redskins lost their last home game before the presidential election, indicating that the incumbent should have lost. However, President George W. Bush (the incumbent) went on to defeat John Kerry. Steve Hirdt modified the rule, establishing Redskins Rule 2.0:[5]

When the popular vote winner does not win the election, the impact of the Redskins game on the subsequent presidential election gets flipped.

In the election in 2000, Al Gore won the popular vote while Bush won the electoral vote, and thereby the revised Redskins Rule was upheld for the 2004 election.

In the 2008 election, the Redskins lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers, predicting a win for U.S. Senator from IllinoisBarack Obama over U.S. Senator from ArizonaJohn McCain, because George W. Bush won the popular vote in the previous election.[6]

Prior to the 2012 election, the Redskins lost against the Carolina Panthers on November 4. The Redskins Rule predicted an outright loss for incumbent Barack Obama against challenger Mitt Romney, or that Obama would lose the popular vote and still win the Electoral College.[7] However, incumbent Barack Obama won the election with 332 electoral votes to Romney's 206,[8] held the advantage in the popular vote by more than 4.7 million votes, and the Redskins Rule did not hold in 2012.

In 2016, the Redskins played their last designated home game prior to the election on October 16, defeating the Philadelphia Eagles 27–20. This outcome predicted a victory for Hillary Clinton of the Democratic Party, which was in power. Clinton's loss to Republican challenger Donald Trump in the election meant that the Redskins Rule did not hold in 2016 despite Clinton winning the popular vote.

The rule typically does not count the team's time playing in Boston (1932–1936). The team competed as the Boston Braves in 1932 when they won 19–6 over the Staten Island Stapletons. This game does not conform to the rule, as Franklin D. Roosevelt defeated incumbent Herbert Hoover in that election. However, in 1936, the first election year the team competed under its longtime nickname, they defeated the Chicago Cardinals and the incumbent Democratic president, Roosevelt, went on to win re-election.

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Results[edit]

Source:[9]

YearElectoral vote resultWashington
(Score)
Opponent
(Score)
Washington
Win or Lose?
Incumbent Party
Win or Lose?
Rule
upheld?
Popular vote winner
1932Roosevelt defeats Hoover 472–59Braves 19[Notes 1]Staten Island Stapletons 6winlosenoRoosevelt
1936Roosevelt defeats Landon 523–8Redskins 13[Notes 1]Chicago Cardinals 10winwinyesRoosevelt
1940Roosevelt defeats Willkie 449–82Redskins 37Pittsburgh Steelers 10winwinyesRoosevelt
1944Roosevelt defeats Dewey 432–99Redskins 14Cleveland Rams 10winwinyesRoosevelt
1948Truman defeats Dewey & Thurmond 303–189–39Redskins 59Boston Yanks 21winwinyesTruman
1952Eisenhower defeats Stevenson 442–89Redskins 23Pittsburgh Steelers 24loseloseyesEisenhower
1956Eisenhower defeats Stevenson 457–73Redskins 20Cleveland Browns 9winwinyesEisenhower
1960Kennedy defeats Nixon 303–219Redskins 10Cleveland Browns 31loseloseyesKennedy
1964Johnson defeats Goldwater 486–52Redskins 27Chicago Bears 20winwinyesJohnson
1968Nixon defeats Humphrey & Wallace 301–191–46Redskins 10New York Giants 13loseloseyesNixon
1972Nixon defeats McGovern 520–17Redskins 24Dallas Cowboys 20winwinyesNixon
1976Carter defeats Ford 297–240Redskins 7Dallas Cowboys 20loseloseyesCarter
1980Reagan defeats Carter 489–49Redskins 14Minnesota Vikings 39loseloseyesReagan
1984Reagan defeats Mondale 525–13Redskins 27Atlanta Falcons 14winwinyesReagan
1988G. H. W. Bush defeats Dukakis 426–111Redskins 27New Orleans Saints 24winwinyesG. H. W. Bush
1992B. Clinton defeats G. H. W. Bush 370–168Redskins 7New York Giants 24loseloseyesB. Clinton
1996B. Clinton defeats Dole 379–159Redskins 31Indianapolis Colts 16winwinyesB. Clinton
2000G. W. BushdefeatsGore 271–266Redskins 21Tennessee Titans 27loseloseyesGore
2004G. W. Bush defeats Kerry 286–251Redskins 14Green Bay Packers 28losewinno[Notes 2]G. W. Bush
2008Obama defeats McCain 365–173Redskins 6Pittsburgh Steelers 23loseloseyesObama
2012Obama defeats Romney 332–206Redskins 13Carolina Panthers 21losewinnoObama
2016Trump defeats H. Clinton 304–227Redskins 27Philadelphia Eagles 20winlosenoH. Clinton
2020Biden defeats Trump 306–232Washington 25Dallas Cowboys 3winloseno[Notes 2]Biden

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ abCompeted as Boston
  2. ^ abUpheld under revised rule

See also[edit]

References[edit]

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  1. ^Bruce, Peter C. (2014-12-03). Introductory Statistics and Analytics: A Resampling Perspective. John Wiley & Sons. p. xvii. ISBN9781118881668.
  2. ^Hofheimer, Bill (October 30, 2012). ''Redskins Rule': MNF's Hirdt on intersection of football & politics'. ESPN. Retrieved October 16, 2016.
  3. ^Manker, Rob (November 7, 2012). 'Redskins Rule: Barack Obama's victory over Mitt Romney tackles presidential predictor for its first loss'. Chicago Tribune. Retrieved November 8, 2012.
  4. ^ abPohl, Robert S. (2013-08-20). Urban Legends & Historic Lore of Washington,. The History Press. pp. 78–80. ISBN9781625846648.
  5. ^Katzowitz, Josh (November 1, 2012). 'A Redskins victory vs. Panthers means Obama wins, loss means Romney wins'. CBS News. Retrieved November 8, 2012.
  6. ^'Obama elected after Redskins omen'. BBC News. November 5, 2012. Retrieved November 8, 2012.
  7. ^Krieg, Gregory J. (November 5, 2012). ''Redskins Rule' Points to Romney Victory'. ABC News. Retrieved November 8, 2012.
  8. ^'President Barack Obama wins Florida, topping Romney in final electoral vote tally 332 to 206'. Washington Post. November 10, 2012. Retrieved November 10, 2012.
  9. ^'Electoral College Results'. Archives.gov. Retrieved October 4, 2020.

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